Miami, the Picks, March 26: Venus Williams vs Urszula Radwanska, Maria Sharapova vs Daria Gavrilova

Ula hasn't cracked the top 5 yet like her big sisters has, but she had a career year.

Ula slumped last year, but she is climbing back in 2015

 

Venus Williams faces Urszula Radwanska, who has played much better this year, being able to qualify at five different tournaments.

The 24 year old qualified in Miami, beating CoCo Vandeweghe in the first round. She can be very aggressive and consistent, although she doesn’t mix it up all the time like her elder (and better) sister Aga. Venus didn’t play Indian Wells so she will be fresh and ready to rock early and often. Urszula Radwanska will be a bit tired, but she will feel strong during the first two sets. However, Venus will takeover the net and will win in three sets.

Daria Gavrilova of Australia has also played pretty very well this year, qualifying at Brisbane, winning the Challengers Burnie and Launch, qualifying for Doha and Indian Wells, where she went three sets to the eventual champ, Simona Halep. This time in Miami, she will face Maria Sharapova. The world No. 2 Sharapova played mediocre at Indian Wells when she fell against Flavia Pennetta, and Gavrilova is very fast and can smack the ball. However, Sharapova has never won Miami and really wants it this time. Sharapova will be pushed, but she will win in three sets.

Christina McHale overcame Sorana Cirstea who just came back due to an injury. The American looked much better this year but she has to face Andrea Petkovic. This will be very close because the German is straining now and McHale has been more consisted, but McHale isn’t quite there yet and Petko will win in three long sets.

Caroline Wozniacki has not been terrific this years by any means. She has been OK, but not great. She has to face another American, Madison Brengle, who has developed her forehand and her firsts serve. That can be troublesome. However, even though Brengle was ranked around No. 100 at the start of this yeay and is now ranked No. 44, Wozniacki rarely loses to the “unknowns.”
Yes, Wozniacki fell to Belinda Bencic, but we all know that the 18 year old will crack to the top 10 by the end of next year if she’s healthy. The Dane will finally play on the baselines and take down Brengle is straight sets.

 

‘We are human’ Novak Djokovic beats Roger Federer to win Indian Wells

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BNP Paribas, India Wells, March 22- For a moment, it looked like Roger Federer was right there. Novak Djokovic had choked in the tiebreaker in the second set and lost it. He was up 5-3; he grew nervous and double faulted twice.   Why was the eight-time champion shaking in his boots? The Serbian pulled himself off the floor and broke the great Swiss to go up 2-0 in the third set. He was going to cruise again. But he stopped, Federer went at him and Djokovic hit a couple ugly serves and was broken again. It was 2-1, they were even, and Djokovic walked toward his chair and smashed his racket so hard that he destroyed it in piece of meat.

But he moved ahead. Then he kept cracking his forehands and backhands, then he returned everything that Federer was handling, then he kissed the lines.

Djokovic won the title 6-3 6-7(5) 6-2 at the BNP Paribas Open Indian Wells. He has now won 2008, 2011, 2014 and 2015.

Pretty easy.

Nope, but very impressive.

“The experience of playing many matches in the big stage and of this importance definitely helps in these particular moments to know what to play,” Djokovic said. “The right shot and stay calm and committed only to the next ball. We are all humans. We all fall under pressure sometimes. It’s completely normal, even though I have had so much experience. Roger, as well.

“Today 3‑2 in the third he made double fault to give me the break. So it does happen; it’s normal on this level with this kind of intensity and competitive spirit that is out there, it happens that you fail sometimes. It’s important to bounce back. It’s important to regroup, and, okay, let it go and move on to the next mission.”

The Swiss has played Djokovic so many times, entering the tournament 20-17 head to head. He had beaten him the past two times at Shanghai in October 2014, and at Dubai a months ago. Federer knew how to go straight at him. He was just fine mixing him up, but he knew that the only way to win is to pound him immediately. For the most part, Federer did, but he was un-able to stroke the lines. He had to over power him with his forehands because he cannot fool him with his one-handed backhand. His serves had to smoke inside this chest, or twist it outside the box. Federer was close, but not close enough.

“I thought it was positive for me,” Federer said. “Very positive physically and mentally. I think he smashed a racquet in the process. I felt like I was getting the upper hand from the baseline. I was making every return, first and second serve, so overall it was the perfect thing to happen. That’s why I’m even more disappointed that it ended up finishing the way it did. For me it was totally against the way the match was going. It was actually the comeback for me to really snap my authority on the match. He loosened up and tried to play a bit more aggressive and that worked. He did very well at that. After that he never looked back and he loosened up a bit.”

Federer acknowledged that Djokovic rarely falls apart. He will go home to Switzerland and will train, getting ready for the clay in Monte Carlo.

Djokovic has celebrate his 50th tournament win on the ATP Tour. He is now ahead of his coach, Boris Becker. He can buy a beer for his friend. Or drink a beer for himself. After all, at Indian Wells, he more than deserves it.

“It’s a great milestone. I don’t take anything for granted,” Djokovic said. “I believe that I have to earn everything that I do. I always try to look for additional motivation, because that’s something that is necessary, especially if you’re playing on the highest level.”

Always fighting: Simona Halep wins Indian Wells, stops Jankovic

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BNP Paribas Indian Wells – Simona Halep believes that one-day, soon, she can win a Grand Slam for the first time. But first things first and at Indian Wells, she grabbed her largest title, beating Jelena Jankovic 2-6, 7-5, 6-4 in the final.

Both women were pretty tired at the end, ending the match at 2 hours and 37 minute. Jankovic is 30 years old and has a load of experience, but she can get frighten while the Romanian kept battling. Her feet hurt and it was pretty painful, but the world No. 3 kept on digging, moving forward on her big forehands and keeping her backhand deep. Yes, both of them had played better matches overall, but it was what it was and she still had to fight on.

She did, battling to the last ball while Jankovic gave up in the last few games.

This year, Halep has been pretty darn good. She opened the year by winning Shenzhen, beating the now good Timea Bacsinszky in the final. At the Australian Open, she went down to Ekaterina Makarova in the quarterfinals. At the Fed Cup at home against Spain, she beat Silvia Soler-Espinosa but lost to Garbine Muguruza. However, Romania won anyway.

But then Halep began to explode. She won Dubai with an important match by besting Makarova, then taking down Caroline Wozniacki and then the huge server Karolina Pliskova in the final.

At Indian Wells, she had to battle every step of the way. She grinded by besting three sets over Daria Gavrilova and Varvara Lepchenko, beat Pliskova again, and then winning another three setter, this time over Carla Suarez.

Fortunately – or unfortunately – Serena Williams pulled out with an injury so Halep had more rest before the final.

She knew that Jankovic would move the ball around all day long, but she was willing to stay in there all day.

“You cannot play your best tennis and then you fight like I did [against Indian Wells]. So it’s compensating. Sometimes you can fight till the end and sometimes you play good and you cannot fight,” Halep said. “In Australia I think I played good tennis, but I couldn’t fight. So for the most important thing it’s just to have this feeling to fight till the end. This tournament gives me a lot of confidence that I can be there, I can win every tournament, so now I have more confidence that I can win a Grand Slam.”

Outside of Williams and Maria Sharapova, since the 23 year old Halep has been more consistent. Throw in her 2014 Roland Garros final, the Wimbledon semifinal, the WTA final and the Madrid final, and she looks like a Slam ready for a taking.

She will play Miami, then play the Fed Cup again and then on to the clay. She has to prove beating the great veterans, Serena and Sharapova. She can do it, but has to let it all hang out and out stoke them.

However, Halep is already very close now.

“This tournament [Indian Wells] gives me a lot of confidence that I can be there, I can win every tournament, so now I have more confidence that I can win a Grand Slam,” Halep said.

 

The Picks: BNP Indian Wells: Federer vs Djokovic – Again

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BNP Indian Wells, finals, Sunday, March 21

Novak Djokovic vs. Roger Federer

These two seem to never stop and it appears that they can go on and on until eternity.  They have already played each other 37 times (thank you very much said Federer, who leads Djokovic 20-17 head to head). When they face off, they understand how the game is played. Yes, this is science, not a boring sport.

They are very intelligent, they think about each other all the time, and will change it up when they are losing. For example, if Novak has decided to smoke his two-handed backhand across the court and not push the ball down the line so the Swiss will grab his forehand and begin to fire away, then Federer will have to chop his one-handers very low so if he gets a chance, he can rush up to  the net and challenge his passing shots. If Federer is serving extremely well, he can use his serve and volley and put the ball away until Djokovic is crunching the returns super low and sharp where Federer has to back off until he can be sitting on top of the net and putting away his sharp volleys.

The reason why Federer has won their last two matches in Shanghai in 2014 and Dubai a month ago was because he dictated the most points. It was very close. At the 2014 Wimbledon final, Djokovic schooled him at the very end.

Who will win Indian Wells on Sunday? Last year in California, Djokovic barely beat Federer. This time, as both of the men who just said, it will be extremely close. Whoever is going to win will nail his first serves, mix up his backhands, jump on of his forehands and arrive at the nets knowing that you can put it away precisely. It’s a dead even, but once again, Djokovic will win at Indian Wells, this time over Federer in three sets.

 Simon Halep vs Jelena Jankovic

Jankovic is full of life again. The former No. 1 was fairly mediocre during the past two years, being OK at times, but she looked a little slower and wasn’t powerful enough on her forehand and serves. But over the past two weeks, she has been very solid at Indian Wells, attacking with her lethal backhand, mixing up her forehands, and coming forward towards the net and crisply pushing them away. The 30-year-old is smiling all the time, saying that she’s in the zone.

However, Simona Halep has looked much better over the past month or so and she owns the Serbian 3-1. The 23-year-old is quicker, she can crunches her forehands and backhands and, even though she is short, she has a very decent big serves.

Yes, Jankovic has more experience, but the Romanian has enough experience to bother her. Halep will be thrilled if Jankovic will try to out-run her, and when she has the Serbian way off the court, she will rise up and nail the balls into the corner.

Jankovic won Indian Wells in 2010 and truly deserved it. Then, she still had a real chance to win a Grand Slam. Now, she looks very good on occasion, but she isn’t strong enough to go all the way.

Halep has a real chance at a Grand Slam soon. But fi,rst and foremost, she has to win Indian Wells. Then we can talk grabbing Roland Garros in two months time. She must start in California, showing the world how talented she is. Halep will win in two sets.

Serena pull out with right injury, but still happy

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INDIAN WELLS, March 21 – Some days, you do not know who will win and why. At 8:15 pm on Friday night, Serena Williams withdrew of her semifinals against Simona Halep. Williams was psyched to win the tournament again. She hadn’t played since 2001 at Indian Wells and she may not have returned ever again, but she did, heroically.

The world No. 1 played fairly well in her first four matches, besting the tricky Monica Niculescu to open, which was very difficult given that Williams hadn’t been in the court in 14 years and she wasn’t sure that the fans would actually like her and cheer for her. They did and after the first night, she could let it all hang out. She crushed Diyas, knocked out Sloane Stephens in three sets and out though the rising Bacsinszky. She was doing whatever she had to do and she was ready to play against No. 3 Simons Halep.

But her right knee hurt badly. On Friday, she tried to walk fast but she couldn’t do it. She wanted to win the title, but if she tried to play, then she ripped her knee and could be out of moments.

“I have a tremendous amount of inflammation in my knee, and it’s going to go away,” she said. “Unfortunately I just need a couple of days.”

She is 33 years old and won’t last forever. If the 19-year-old Grand Slam wants to win more, maybe tying Steffi Graf at 22 majors, but she has to stay healthy. She has to be super careful.

“ It wasn’t until after I got an injection in my knee,” Williams said. “I waited about half an hour and I was ‑‑ because it takes about a half hour to set in. I just wasn’t getting any better. I have been injured before in the past. I have played in Australia [she won the title] where I was super injured, and in hindsight I thought I should have never played. So then I have set different rules for myself. Like if I have this or if I don’t feel this, then I’m not going to play. They say hindsight is 20/20. I didn’t want to be in hindsight in this moment either. I just decided that after the injection, I didn’t feel better after that, and after I have done everything absolutely everything I could, I was like, Yeah, maybe it’s not in my best interest for my future to play.”

Williams may play in Miami next week, or the defending champion may pull out if her knee still aches (she beat Li Na in the final). She may play the Fed Cup against Italy mid April, and is planning to play Madrid (in 2014 she pulled out before the quarters against Petra Kvitova) and Rome (she crushed Sara Errani to win the title). But of course, she will be staring down at Roland Garros, given that last year in Paris, Garbine Muguruza shocked her 6-2, 6-2. If she is going to be able to run around on the clay, Williams cannot be stiff.

“The press puts more pressure on the majors for me than I do,” Williams said. “I love the majors, obviously. I really go out and I play the best that I can. But I play the best that I can every tournament that I play. I wouldn’t necessarily be able to win the majors if I didn’t do well at Indian Wells or at all these other tournaments. It’s these tournaments that you’re able to build your confidence so that you can win those matches in the majors. You can’t just show up at Wimbledon and just win it and not play anything else before…I have to be able to play other tournaments and build confidence.”

While Williams was unable to win the title, at least she won when she was on the court, the fans cheered and that was good enough. Serena will come back to Indian Wells on 2016, which is a good thing and she looks happy. She was sad trying to wait the title, but the L.A. woman was happy that the fans bowed-down and smiled at her.

“I was really, really disappointed. I was really down. I was really sad,” Williams said. But then I thought, You know what, Serena? This is just an opportunity to be able to come back next year and be able to do better next year. As you know me, I always want to do better and always want to be the best. So after looking at it kind of in that way, I thought this can hopefully propel me to just focus on getting better.”

The Picks: Roger, Rafa & Serena ready to rock. Indian Wells, March 20

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Roger Federer vs. Tomas Berdych

Since 2009, the two have faced off 10 times and have split it down the middle. The two played each other once last year, when Federer overcame Berdych at 2014 Dubai in three sets, and in 2013 it was also in Dubai, when the Czech smacked his huge serves to grab it.

These two know each other quite well, so whomever cracks their first serve, move the balls around, charges the net, go super low at the backhands and strikes as hard as they can with their forehands will have the edge. Easy, right? No, but that doesn’t mean that they will miss if they are a little off. Without question, Federer has more variety, but Berdych is a little stronger from his daunting serves. Both men have played very well this week and it will be very close, but Federer has been more stylistic at Indian Wells and he will win in three tight sets.

Rafael Nadal vs. Milos Raonic

The Spaniard is looking better again, but so has the Canadian. Still, Nadal isn’t up this his usual dominance this year, as he is coming back after his injury in the last half of 2014. His forehand is not perfect, but he is swinging away and crushing from both sides. Nadal is not banging his first serves, and he needs to hit his backhands deeper, but overall, he has been respectable and very soon, he will be ready to grab No. 1 again.

However, Raonic is ready. He has never beaten Nadal in five matches, but he has been reasonable close. His serve is gigantic, he has a huge forehand and he does not back off. He is not as fast as Nadal, he doesn’t return as well and doesn’t mix it up enough, but when he gets rolling he is hard to stop. The 24-year-old is ready to dance. Raonic will upset Nadal in three sets.

Serena Williams vs. Simona Halep

Can anyone actually beat Serena Williams if she is playing extremely well? I doubt it. However, Williams has been down on herself at times. Look at the first half of 2014 when she was out of it and not sure why she was missing all the time. But she has calmed down and, from late July, she was been lights out.

Amazingly, the No. 3 Halep looked terrific in upsetting Williams in the round robin at the WTA Final in Singapore, but they played again in the final and Williams overpowered her.

Halep has been pretty darn good over the past three weeks or so and she is ready to outstroke Serena from the baseline. She might be able to because the 23-year-old is quicker than the 33-year-old, but she is not as strong off her forehand, although Halep is right there with her backhand. Even though Halep is striking her serves, they are not as big enough against Serena and she can be attacked off of her second serves. Serena badly wants to win the tournament at Indian Wells, the first time at the desert since 2001. Halep will play very well, but Serena will out think her and win in three sets.

The Picks: Feliciano Lopez v Kei Nishikori, Simona Halep v Carla Suarez Navarro and more, at Indian Wells

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March 18

Stadium 1

Feliciano Lopez v Kei Nishikori

Lopez is much more steady than he once was. His left-handed service is wicked, he has a sweet stroke on the net and can be cagey. But Nishikori has a tremendous backhand and won’t be afraid pulling himself too wide. He is way faster and will pull himself to and fro until the Spanish will become frustrated. Nishikori will win in two tough sets.

Simona Halep v Carla Suarez Navarro

Halep looked extremely impressive in taking down Pliskova yesterday, returning very well against the hard server. Now she has to be patient against Suarez, who has played very well this season and is moving forward very quickly. They are both very fast and both can rip the forehands, but the backhand Halep is more effective than the Spaniard is and will mix it up on her first serves. Halep will win in three sets.

Gilles Simon v Rafael Nadal

Does Simon have a real chance against Nadal, who is playing better than better? Perhaps, but he is going to play as well as he can against Rafa, who’s forehand in deep, extremely solid and oh-so lethal. Simon is a smart player and he likes to run around and changing long rallies, but in order to best him, you have to outlast him. Simon will come into the net more often, and he will be inspired, but Nadal will step on his shoes in three sets.

Stadium 2

Andy Murray v Adrian Mannarino

Mannarino has improved over the past year or so and the 26 year old doesn’t shy away. However, the Frenchman isn’t extremely powerful and isn’t quite sure how he will attack Murray. The Scot really wants to go deep here and he has looked pretty good this week, with his backhand has been legendary. Murray will win in straight sets.

Lukas Rosol v Tomas Berdych

Rosol is playing better now than he was at the Davis Cup and both he and Berdych should have played at home too. But Berdych decided not to, which helped the Aussies win at the DC, while Tomas could only shake his head. However, Berdych didn’t have to play there for hours and hours and he rested. Now he looks fresh and is ready to crack at the big boys. First, he will have not knock down a low-ranking player, which he will do, and beat Rosol in straight sets.

Milos Raonic v Tommy Robredo

This could be a very interesting match because the veteran Robredo looked tall when he took our Dimitrov on Tuesday. The Spaniard never quit. However, he likes long rallied and while he has improved his serves and backhands and can go deep, he won’t be able to aces after ace against Raonic, and swing away with his phenomenal forehands. Robredo will win a set, bit Raonic will grab it in three sets.

The Picks: Another Classic between Maria and Vika, plus Murray vs Kohlschreiber

Stadium 1, March 16, BNP Paribas Open, Indian Wells

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Eugenie Bouchard vs CoCo Vandeweghe

“Genie” hasn’t played very well since last July, but she was OK in the Australian and with her new coach, Sam Sumyk, she will compete every single ball. Vandeweghe has improved quite a bit since last year and has a gigantic first serve, but Bouchard will rank her around and win in three sets.

Andy Murray vs Philipp Kohlschreiber

The Britain really needs to win another Masters Series 1000 soon. He is over due. Yes, the German has a beautiful one-hander and he is cagey, but Murray knows exactly what types of shot. Murray will win in straight sets.

Madison Keys vs Jelena Jankovic

The young American can crack her first, can slug it from both wings and is pretty fair at the net. The former No. 1 “JJ” could play super steady and kissing at the lines with her backhand but she has slowed down. Keys will win quickly in two sets.

Maria Sharapova vs Victoria Azarenka

Sharapova has been much better over the past year and half, but Azarenka is coming back and trying very again. While Azarenka is not perfect yet, she is looking very aggressive and extremely good at the net. However, Sharapova doesn’t not like losing against her foe, especially because they cannot hang around together. Azarenka can pull Sharapova into the corners and keep her guessing, but the Belarussian isn’t blasting her serves in 2012-2013 and she can be attacked. Sharapova will nail her second serves and win in three sets.

Stadium 2

Fernando Verdasco vs Kei Nishikori

Six years ago, Verdasco was really slugging his lefty serve, but these days he hasn’t progressed. Nishikori can wipe out his foe on his backhand and is substantially quicker. Kei will win is straight sets.

John Isner vs Kevin Anderson

Isner has not had a good year at all and Anderson has been fairly solid. Both men are very tall, which means they can slam in aces after aces. Neither returns particularly well. Essentially, they will have three tiebreaks, and whom ever grabs two sets will win. Take Isner, only because he is way over due and he has played very well at Indian Wells. He just likes that sunshine.

 

2015 Indian Wells Photos by Mal Taam/MALTPhoto

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Serena Williams returns at Indian Williams: Yes, she won

 

Serena 2012 Aussie

INDIAN WELLS BNP Paribas Open, March 12: Serena Williams talked quite a bit on Thursday when she discussed why she has decided to come back to Indian Wells again. It has been a long, long time for Ms. Williams, almost 14 years ago, when she last play at 2001 Indian Wells and she won the tournament, beating Kim Clijsters in three sets.

In 2001, it was a tough week over the last four days and she was so upset that some of the crowds screamed at Serena, her sister Venus, and her father, Richard. Tennis-wise, during the hot sun, it was very unusual.

But ever though Serena wanted to get out of there, she still kept banging away. Clijsters wasn’t thrilled when some of the fans were yelling so loudly. Kim melted, Serena grabbed the trophy, and even though she was extremely upset, she smiled for a second. Winning matters a great deal, even though there weren’t enough fans cheering for her.

“I don’t remember,” Williams said. “I don’t really watch that match actually. Not a fun match to watch. But I don’t remember being ‑‑ having any emotions besides happiness. I remember sitting down and praying. I think I was losing actually in the first set and I said, ‘I don’t want to win this match. I just want to get through this moment.’ I don’t know what happened. I just won after that. It was really just a moment of just praying and just trying to get through the match. Not win the match, get through the match and got off the court pretty much.”

But this time, it’s 2015. In 2001, Serena had only won a single Slam then. Now she has grabbed 18 majors and when she actually retired she could be called the greatest ever. She has been spectacular. On Friday night, the new fans will stand up and cheer. Give her a bow.

**

So many coaches have moved on to new places. In Britain, Andy Murray will now work with Jonas Bjorkman, the former No. 4 who retired in 2008. The former No. 1 Amelie Mauresmo is the main coach for Murray. While many of the top players now work with two coaches, but having two of the former top players at the same time? Extremely rare.

“[He’s] an exceptional tennis player who made the most out of his game who is an very nice person,” Murray said. “I know him very well from when he played. When I came on the tour when I was young, he was very good to me. He’s got a good resume as a player and a lot of the Swedes turn out to be pretty good coaches. I think they have a good mindset, a lot of them are very calm individuals but extremely hard workers – which I know he was as a player.”

But who is going to make the call, Bjorkman or Mauresmo? Are they the same person? Would they sit back, or move forward? Should he mix it up or just crush it down the line? Should he be allowed to become angry, or should he calm down?

No one knows the answer – yet.

**

The top seed would love to win Roland Garros some day. Novak Djokovic has tried winning it all on a number of occasions, but failed, against Rafael Nadal (six losses in Paris!). He has won the Australian Open five times, two Wimbledon and one US Open. But he was never been able to raise the trophy.

Djokovic is thinking more of winning the Indian Wells title again, but Paris is ringing in his ear.

“Generally, I know the highest priority is the French Open,” Djokovic said. ”It’s still too early to talk about it. The difference to those goals and approach is I won’t put too much pressure on myself. I don’t want to take away too much energy thinking about if I will make it or not.  The French Open of course is the Grand Slam I’ve never won, but I’ve had a lot of good tournaments there. I played a couple times the finals there, got a step closer, and I use the losses as a way to grow mentally, physically and emotionally as a player in general so I can understand what I need to do better.”

Here were the most surprising wins on Thursday:

Christina McHale d Petra Cetkovska 6-4 7-5 as the American has been hurt and really needed a win.  Lucie Hradecka d Jana Cepelova 6-3 6-1, as the Czech is serving huge this year. Polona Hercog, who was the top seed at the qualies, blasted Vera Zvonareva 6-1 6-1. Where is the former No.2 going?

The Canadian Vasek Pospisil d Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 4-2 while Kukushkin retired. Not surprised that he was exhausted about playing in the Davis Cup last weekend. Perhaps the same here? Albert Ramos d Viktor Troicki of Serbia 6-4 6-4. Juan Monaco is finally playing well again, beats Teymuraz Gabashvili 6-2 3-6 6-3. The best match was Ryan Harrison over Mardy Fish 6-4 4-6 7-6 (3). Good for both of them. But more tomorrow…