Roddick stuns Federer

Andy finally got over on Federer again.

After knocking back three break points down 0-1 in the third set of his somewhat shocking 7-6(4), 1-6, 6-4 over Roger Federer in Miami, Andy Roddick went out in third game and all of sudden after nearly a full year and three quarters of looking a slower due to injuries, he ran with sheer abandon. He earned a break point, and then dashed to his right and retrieved a forehand crosscourt volley. With the quick flick of his wrist, he curled a gorgeous forehand down the line pass that stunned the Swiss. That was the moment when he picked up his career again, and whether it lasts another week, month, or two years, he was finally rewarded for the relentless yet frustrating rehab work he has put in since his great run to the 2009 Wimbledon final, when Federer found a way to wear him down mentally him in a five set classic. “That was one of the best return games I have ever played,” Roddick said.

The 31st seed’s victory did not come easily at the end, when Federer out smacked him in a tough forehand-to-forehand rally to gain a 30-15 edge at 5-4. So what did Roddick do? What the old Andy would have done, and this time he succeeded against the Swiss: he nailed an ace and then two service winners, not allowing Federer to trip him up in a rally.

It was just Roddick’s third win in 24 career meetings with Federer, but two of his wins over the 16-time Slam champ have come at Crandon Park on Key Biscayne. It is somewhat hard to recall the last time he played that well against an elite player and actually won the match. His win over David Ferrer at the 2011 US Open showed his grit on a back court, but it was not a victory over a guy who has totally owned him and was on a 16-match win streak, which included titles in Rotterdam, Dubai and Indian Wells.

It was very likely when Nadal knocked out Rafael Nadal at 2009 Miami, a tournament where he has often times played his best.

“It was a great night for him and for American tennis, I guess, but it was tough for me. It was a close match that didn’t go my way,” Federer said. “I came out a bit flat today, I was a bit tired, I guess, but it was more mental than physical, I think.”

Roddick played as about as aggressively as he could: he did not allow Federer to push him around on the forehand side or trick him into absurd net approaches. He looked like the boss and while the win will not allow him to sleep easy for the rest of his life and not think about his Wimbledon defeat, it will make a very happy man in the short term, and also signals that he can be a relevant player again.

QUICK HITS on the rest of the results

Victoria Azarenka d. Dominika Cibulkova 1-6 7-6 7-5.

The victory was Azarenka’s 26th straight, but the contest was the Slovak’s to take, as she held a 2 break lead in the 2nd set. The new Vika was gutsy and clutch, while her old foe from the juniors, Cibulkova, once again failed to show that she has the mentality to be a top 5 player.

Serena Williams d. Samantha Stosur 7-5 6-3

Stosur looked in control of the match early on, but a nervous Serena finally began to take high hopping balls to her backhand early and came away with a small measure of revenge for her 2011 US Open loss to her.

Maria Sharapova d Ekaterina Makarova 6-4 7-6

Sharapova cannot always beat the rest of the top five with her “B” game, but she gutted this one out even though she was way off her top level, as was Makarova. She better up her game quickly as Li Na, who bested her at 2011 RG, is next, and nemesis Serena looms.

Caroline Wozniacki d Yanina Wickmayer 7-6(6) 6-0

Caro has not been so far under the radar since early 2009 publicity wise, but that will change as she will face Serena, who took her out at the 2011 US Open. She’ll take her to at least 3 sets this time around.

Li Na beat Sabine Lisicki 3-6 6-4 6-2

It’s so hard to figure Li and when she’ll will have a mental check out, but the surface and whether suits her and one would expect her to give Sharapova hell. Lisicki is stuck in place.

Agnieszka Radwanska d. Garbine Muguruza 6-3 6-2

If you are a Spanish rookie do you really want to face the white witch of the WTA? I think not, but Muguruza made major strides this week. And Aga, well if she doesn’t face Azarenka she has a good chance to win her sixth high grade outdoor hardcourt title in the past eight months.

Marion Bartoli beat Maria Kirilenko 6-1 6-2

All respect to Marion, but Kirilenko must have been sick or hurt here as she’s been playing way better than this score. Let’s see if Bartoli can go at Azarenka in the same fashion that Cibulkova did.

Juan Martin Del Potro d. Marin Cilic 6-3 7-6(3)

This use to be a super relevant match between up and comers, but Cilic is barely relevant any more. Delpo is promising better play than he showed against Ferrer in Davis Cup.

David Ferrer d Julien Benneteau 7-6(5) 6-4

Ferrer rarely loses early, on any surface, but does anyone actually see him reaching the final?

Novak Djokovic d. Viktor Troicki 6-3 6-4

What was that, the 1000th time Djokovic has defeated Troicki?

Nicolas Almagro d. Fernando Verdasco 6-3 6-4

Three years ago, Verdasco would have won this match but Nico has become more consistent. Maybe he’ll actually make a real run at a Slam this year

Richard Gasquet d Alberto Ramos 6-2 5-7 6-3

Do you realize that these days you can actually say that Gasquet does things quietly – like winning.

 

Mardy Fish d. Kevin Anderson 6-4 6-3

This is the first time this year that Fish has dug himself into a tournament. If he wants to move to Center court, he is going to need to be very focused vs. Almagro.

 

Three fine finals ahead

Murray: so close yet so far

TOKYO: Rafa Nadal vs. Andy Murray

Welcome to version 18 of what could be a great rivalry but one that has somewhat fizzled as Nadal has beaten Murray all four times they’ve played this year. Even thought the Scot plays him tough, Nadal is more consistent and authoritative than he is from the backcourt and unlike some other elite players, Murray cannot totally exploit Nadal’s backhand with his weaker forehand. Murray is 4-13 against the Spaniard entering this match and while he did look good in dispatching David Ferrer 6-2 6-3, Nadal also looked good in out muscling Mardy Fish 7-5 6-1. Murray needs this win more than defending champ Nadal does, but Rafa is looking for a confidence booster after his difficult loss to Novak Djokovic in the US Open final, so he is sure to charge hard. Murray has a much better chance here than he does at the Slams because it’s a two out of three set match and there is less pressure attached to the event.

BEIJING: Tomas Berdych vs. Marin Cilic

With Berdych talking out Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 6-4 4-6 6-1 in the semis, the eight spots for the ATP World Finals are getting close to being sewn up. While there are still big events to be played in Shanghai, Basel, Stockholm, Vienna and Bercy, Berdych, Tsonga and Tokyo semifinalists Mardy Fish and David Ferrer all made progress this week. Nicolas Almagro, who is No. 9 in the race, isn’t a very good fast court player, No. 10 Robin Soldering is ill and No. 11 Giles Simon does not like super fast courts either. No. 12 Juan Martin Del Potro has an outside shot, but he will get a zero pointer in his ranking for not playing Shanghai next week and all aforementioned four will play there. DelPo will have to do major damage to grab the last spot.

Berdych has proven himself to be en excellent fast court player when he is motivated and the same goes with Cilic when he’s feeling confident, which has been rare this year. This a huge chance for the young Croat to make himself relevant again but he will have to serve and return very well to pull off the upset.

BEIJING: Andrea Petkovic vs. Agnieszka Radwanska

While it may not always be the case, the last two weeks have shown that those players on the buddle of qualifying for the year-end WTA Championships in Istanbul are super motivated. That Radwanska and Petkovic made it to the final proves how important being members of the 2011 final eight club is, as both came into the week chasing Marion Bartoli for the eight and final spot. By reaching the final, both appear to have already passed Bartoli and it looks like if Radwanska wins the title, she’ll also pass No. 7 Samantha Stosur.

Radwanska won Tokyo last week and is looking to pull off a career first by winning back-to-back Premier titles. Petkovic has never won a Premier title, but has been very solid most of the year, reaching three Slam quarters. Radwanska is the more talented of the two, having beaten Petkovic twice this summer, ironically in back to back Premier tournaments in San Diego and Toronto in August. She is not as physically strong as the German is, but has more variety and confuses her with her change of pace. Petkovic has to bring something different to the table this time.

US Open: grading the pros

 

This was written before the women

Wimbledon mens’ draw breakdown

Rafa will go for his third double-double

TOP HALF, FIRST QUARTER

Rafael Nadal will go for his third Roland Garros-Wimbledon double and regardless of his mentally tiring Roland Garros and sporadic play in Queens, he has to be seen as the favorite until someone knocked him off. he opens against US veteran Michael Russell, could play the big hitting Ryan Sweeting of the US in second round and maybe confront the dangerous Milos Raonic in the third round; that

Rome Quarters: Djokovic to face Murray in AO rematch

Gasquet will face Nadal

Injured Azarenka emotionally implodes vs. Sharapova

Rafa Nadal will now maintain the top spot at least until the end of Roland Garros after he wasted the Croat Marin Cilic 6-1 6-3 to reach the semis Rome Masters. Nadal, who has been fighting a fever, feels much better now and he

Business As Usual on Men’s Side, Until Dolgopolov

MELBOURNE – The men

Who Can Stop the Rafa Slam?

The following is my top 10 picks in order for which men will fare the best at the AussieOpen, which is not totally based on ranking.

1 RAFAEL NADAL

The Spaniard has been ill but should be fine by the time he strikes the first ball in Melbourne. Rod Laver Arena is a bit slower than the US Open and that will play more in Nadal