The Pick, Miami: Serena Williams vs. Simona Halep. Is the Romanian ready to upset the near perfect American?

Serena IW 15 TR MALT8371

 

1-Serena Williams vs. 3-Simona Halep

This is a gigantic match because Halep wants to show the world that she is good enough for anyone, which includes the world No. 1, Serena Williams. The Romanian has said that she wants to win a Slam and become No.1 but in order to do so, she has to knock off the queen, assuming that Serena stays healthy.

At the age of 33 years old, Williams can’t be at No. 1 forever, but right now, she is the best player by a long shot and there is no one, and I mean no one, has proven that they have beaten Serena if she is playing 100 percent.

With that said, Halep has been more consistent over the past two years and on the hard courts, she seems exactly what to do. Of course she hasn’t won every tournament and yes Maria Sharapova has troubled her, but she hasn’t taken one loss, become extremely emotional and disappear. Now she is calm and after a loss, wake up the next day, lift her chin up and moved on. That’s why she has won 14-matches in a row at Doha, at Indian Wells and now in Miami.

Unfortunately, Williams pulled out of Indian Wells prior to their semifinal and Halep was unable to take her gloves off and seize the day. Two weeks later, the 24 year old will have another chance with even more confidence.

Interestingly, the last time they played was in the 2014 WTA Finals in Singapore. Halep was on fire and super consistent and Serena had not woken up yet. Simona crushed her 6-0 6-2 in the Round Robin. Serena was very upset, saying that her serve was so bad that she was worse than the 10-and-unders. Then she locked in and by the time for the final against Halep, she was ready to nail the lines everywhere and got her right back, smoking Simona 6-3 6-0. Mentally, Halep wasn’t there, as she knew that Serena was going to play very well and she was nervous at the first ball.

That was in late October and now it is April 2. Serena hasn’t lost a match since then and outside of the Australian Open quarterfinal against Makarova and at Fed Cup when she went down to Muguruza, Halep has been very smart. She hasn’t played great every match but she has imposed herself, winning seven matches in three sets, which means that she isnt panicking.

The 19-Grand-Slam Serena rarely panics, so if Halep can win the match she has to fight all the way from the finish line. Williams is a much better serve, as she can boom the ball, ace after ace. Halep’s first serve has improved and can kiss the lines, but if she has to hit her second serves frequently, she has to take her chance because if she just pops it into the middle Serena will crush her returns where Halep cannot even touch them.

Halep can run all day and she is super fast, so if she can start the points 50-50 she will be right there, but she cannot push the ball and merely hope. She has to attack almost immediately and go for her favorite combo – her backhand crosscourt sharp and her foe is stretched to her left and then hammer her backhand down the other side and on the line – and any time Serena is out of position she has to move forward.

Serena is more powerful and can certainly out slug her with her forehand, which is heavier and deeper. If Williams is feeling well, then she will charge the net and end the points quickly.

Really, if Serena plays great she will win the match, even if Halep plays a terrific contest. Serena is still just better than she is. However, even though Serena has dominated Miami over the years, she is due to lose this year – right?

Serena won’t play fantastic, Halep will and grab it in three tremendous sets.

 

The Pick: Kei Nishikori vs. John Isner. Can Isner take down the rising No 5 Kei

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MIAMI, APRIL 2

Maybe John Isner has come to life again. On Tuesday, he was almost gone against Milos Raonic in the second set in the tiebreak and even though he was mad, he maintained composed and grabbed it. In the final tiebreak in the third set, he didn’t shake his head or be depressed and kept on chugging, playing more forceful on the baseline.

Running and racing on the ground, Kei Nishikori is much faster than Isner is, so the American has to keep the points quickly. Nishikori isn’t as good as the Big 4 when it comes to the returns, he has improved a large amount in the last year and a half, so Isner has to fool him with his first and second serves.

Clearly, Isner has one of the biggest serves out there and it is very hard to break him, but the Japan can poke the balls back and get ready to rally. He will yank the balls side to side that the 6-foot-10 will be gasping for air.

Nishikori can smoke his forehand and backhand, he has developed a larger first serve that he can move it around, and he can also rush to the net and put away some hard passing shots.

Isner can blast his forehand and here and there, he can hit the lines off his backhand. He only does it occasionally, but on some nights he takes a risk.

Yes, Isner can put away his volleys but he has to be on the net because if he has to bend low he is usually in trouble.

Since last year and most of this year, Nishikori was much more courageous and believes that he could topple the Big 4, as well as the rest of the top 10. He has not yet to win a Slam, but he came close to reach the 2014 US Open final, even though he was tired and looked a little scared in front of the bright lights.

But on Miami, he spent years of training and he knows exactly how to play. Isner will serve and make the match close, but in the end, Kei will break early in the third set and hold on.

 

Miami, the Picks, March 26: Venus Williams vs Urszula Radwanska, Maria Sharapova vs Daria Gavrilova

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Venus Williams faces Urszula Radwanska, who has played much better this year, being able to qualify at five different tournaments.

The 24 year old qualified in Miami, beating CoCo Vandeweghe in the first round. She can be very aggressive and consistent, although she doesn’t mix it up all the time like her elder (and better) sister Aga. Venus didn’t play Indian Wells so she will be fresh and ready to rock early and often. Urszula Radwanska will be a bit tired, but she will feel strong during the first two sets. However, Venus will takeover the net and will win in three sets.

Daria Gavrilova of Australia has also played pretty very well this year, qualifying at Brisbane, winning the Challengers Burnie and Launch, qualifying for Doha and Indian Wells, where she went three sets to the eventual champ, Simona Halep. This time in Miami, she will face Maria Sharapova. The world No. 2 Sharapova played mediocre at Indian Wells when she fell against Flavia Pennetta, and Gavrilova is very fast and can smack the ball. However, Sharapova has never won Miami and really wants it this time. Sharapova will be pushed, but she will win in three sets.

Christina McHale overcame Sorana Cirstea who just came back due to an injury. The American looked much better this year but she has to face Andrea Petkovic. This will be very close because the German is straining now and McHale has been more consisted, but McHale isn’t quite there yet and Petko will win in three long sets.

Caroline Wozniacki has not been terrific this years by any means. She has been OK, but not great. She has to face another American, Madison Brengle, who has developed her forehand and her firsts serve. That can be troublesome. However, even though Brengle was ranked around No. 100 at the start of this yeay and is now ranked No. 44, Wozniacki rarely loses to the “unknowns.”
Yes, Wozniacki fell to Belinda Bencic, but we all know that the 18 year old will crack to the top 10 by the end of next year if she’s healthy. The Dane will finally play on the baselines and take down Brengle is straight sets.

 

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